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McDonald's Corp. (MCD) — Uptrend in force
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) is trading at $273.44, -1.04 (-0.38%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -16.5% move. Price is -19.8% from its 6-month high and +4.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) is trading at $273.44. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -16.5% move.
Price is -19.8% from the 6-month high and +4.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($272.12) and below the 50-day SMA ($273.64).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $273.44, upper $278.69, middle $270.23, lower $261.76. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.3% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 53.9. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.39, signal $-0.31, histogram +0.706.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.90) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($273.44) is -5.3% below the anchored VWAP ($288.77). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $273.44. Resistance above: $274.21, $278.69, $287.10. Support below: $273.29, $270.23, $267.19.
Watch $274.21 as the first upside level to clear, and $273.29 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$274.21
Resistance
$278.69
Resistance
$287.10
Support
$273.29
Support
$270.23
Support
$267.19
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-16.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($273.64).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 54 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.706) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.69).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($288.77).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:46:26.241710448Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.