MCHP (MCHP) — Uptrend in force
MCHP (MCHP) is trading at $81.32, +2.63 (+3.59%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +21.0% move. Price is -21.0% from its 6-month high and +21.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MCHP (MCHP) is trading at $81.32. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +21.0% move.
Price is -21.0% from the 6-month high and +21.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($76.02, +7.0%) and above the 50-day SMA ($75.84).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $81.32, upper $81.98, middle $75.20, lower $68.41. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 18.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 76.7. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.28, signal $0.30, histogram +0.979.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.29) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($81.32) is -4.4% below the anchored VWAP ($85.04). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $81.32. Resistance above: $81.41. Support below: $79.37, $78.47, $76.87.
Watch $81.41 as the first upside level to clear, and $79.37 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$81.41
Support
$79.37
Support
$78.47
Support
$76.87
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+21.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($75.84).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 77 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.979) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.95).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($85.04).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:35.007292120Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.