MCO (MCO) — Downtrend in force
MCO (MCO) is trading at $441.36, -27.34 (-1.34%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -0.6% move. Price is -15.0% from its 6-month high and +3.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
MCO (MCO) is trading at $441.36. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -0.6% move.
Price is -15.0% from the 6-month high and +3.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($460.56, -4.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($480.37).
Bollinger Bands Breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $441.36, upper $486.31, middle $464.22, lower $442.14. Price is breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band.
Bandwidth is 9.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 22.8. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-10.62, signal $-8.07, histogram -2.550.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.09) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($441.36) is -5.0% below the anchored VWAP ($464.68). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 0 support levels
Current price $441.36. Resistance above: $458.65, $469.18, $474.50. Support below: none nearby.
Resistance
$458.65
Resistance
$469.18
Resistance
$474.50
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-0.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($480.37).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 23 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-2.550) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B -0.02).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($464.68).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:35.265193363Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.