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MCO (MCO) — Range-bound
MCO (MCO) is trading at $485.64, +7.89 (+1.65%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +14.8% move. Price is -6.4% from its 6-month high and +14.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
MCO (MCO) is trading at $485.64. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +14.8% move.
Price is -6.4% from the 6-month high and +14.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($481.50) and above the 50-day SMA ($473.88).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $485.64, upper $497.69, middle $482.60, lower $467.51. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.2% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 53.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.92, signal $1.49, histogram -0.568.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.77). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($485.64) is +6.4% above the anchored VWAP ($456.27). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $485.64. Resistance above: $487.37, $495.75, $504.91. Support below: $478.27, $473.27, $467.51.
Watch $487.37 as the first upside level to clear, and $478.27 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$487.37
Resistance
$495.75
Resistance
$504.91
Support
$478.27
Support
$473.27
Support
$467.51
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($473.88).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 53 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.568) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.60).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.77) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($456.27).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:05.992004417Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.