Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) — Downtrend in force
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) is trading at $58.19, -2.06 (74.4%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -0.3% move. Price is -10.5% from its 6-month high and +3.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) is trading at $58.19. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -0.3% move.
Price is -10.5% from the 6-month high and +3.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($60.17, -3.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($61.88).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $58.19, upper $63.93, middle $60.70, lower $57.46. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 10.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 24.5. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.06, signal $-0.72, histogram -0.341.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.96) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($58.19) is -4.4% below the anchored VWAP ($60.90). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $58.19. Resistance above: $61.15, $61.84, $63.03. Support below: $57.35.
Watch $61.15 as the first upside level to clear, and $57.35 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$61.15
Resistance
$61.84
Resistance
$63.03
Support
$57.35
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-0.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($61.88).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 24 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.341) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.11).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($60.90).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:35.404078581Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.