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Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) — Uptrend in force
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) is trading at $63.72, +1.11 (+1.77%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +6.5% move. Price is -1.9% from its 6-month high and +17.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 7 bullish, 0 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) is trading at $63.72. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +6.5% move.
Price is -1.9% from the 6-month high and +17.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($62.54, +1.9%) and above the 50-day SMA ($61.21).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $63.72, upper $64.59, middle $61.98, lower $59.37. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 8.4% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 63.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.62, signal $0.51, histogram +0.105.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.09) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($63.72) is +6.4% above the anchored VWAP ($59.87). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $63.72. Resistance above: $63.87, $64.59, $66.65. Support below: $62.40, $61.39, $60.65.
Watch $63.87 as the first upside level to clear, and $62.40 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$63.87
Resistance
$64.59
Resistance
$66.65
Support
$62.40
Support
$61.39
Support
$60.65
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+6.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($61.21).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 64 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.105) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.83).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($59.87).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:06.171135340Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.