MELI

MELI (MELI) — Downtrend in force

MELI (MELI) is trading at $1,696.56, -56.05 (67.9%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -0.8% move. Price is -15.4% from its 6-month high and +9.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.

Trend Downtrend in force

MELI (MELI) is trading at $1,696.56. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -0.8% move.

Price is -15.4% from the 6-month high and +9.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.

Price is below the 15-day MA ($1,765.22, -3.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($1,858.16).

Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $1,696.56, upper $1,950.42, middle $1,799.24, lower $1,648.06. Price is near the lower band — weakness.

Bandwidth is 16.8% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Weakening

RSI(14) is 26.3. Nearing the 30 oversold line.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-51.44, signal $-38.60, histogram -12.850.

The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.

Volume Analysis Balanced volume

Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.94) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing

The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater

Price ($1,696.56) is -3.6% below the anchored VWAP ($1,760.10). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels

Current price $1,696.56. Resistance above: $1,727.37, $1,813.99, $1,842.49. Support below: $1,685.55, $1,668.44, $1,648.06.

Watch $1,727.37 as the first upside level to clear, and $1,685.55 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Signal breakdown

• Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-0.8% over the period).
• Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($1,858.16).
• RSI (14) Bullish RSI 26 — oversold, bounce setup.
• MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-12.850) — fast line below signal.
• Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.16).
• Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
• A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
• AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($1,760.10).

Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:18:01.972757419Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.