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MO (MO) — Range-bound
MO (MO) is trading at $67.35, -1.47 (59.7%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is flat with a +1.2% move. Price is -10.1% from its 6-month high and +5.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 4 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
MO (MO) is trading at $67.35. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +1.2% move.
Price is -10.1% from the 6-month high and +5.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($68.65, -1.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($68.32).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $67.35, upper $70.63, middle $68.71, lower $66.79. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 5.6% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 26.7. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.31, signal $-0.07, histogram -0.242.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.11) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($67.35) is -3.2% below the anchored VWAP ($69.58). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $67.35. Resistance above: $68.39, $69.29, $70.29. Support below: $66.43, $64.72, $63.92.
Watch $68.39 as the first upside level to clear, and $66.43 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$68.39
Resistance
$69.29
Resistance
$70.29
Support
$66.43
Support
$64.72
Support
$63.92
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($68.32).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 27 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.242) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.15).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($69.58).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:37.102044171Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.