MO (MO) — Downtrend in force
MO (MO) is trading at $65.90, -2.45 (-3.58%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -1.0% move. Price is -12.0% from its 6-month high and +3.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 7 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
MO (MO) is trading at $65.90. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -1.0% move.
Price is -12.0% from the 6-month high and +3.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($68.38, -3.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($70.84).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $65.90, upper $76.47, middle $69.53, lower $62.58. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 20.0% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 30.5. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.80, signal $-1.28, histogram -0.517.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.90) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($65.90) is -4.6% below the anchored VWAP ($69.10). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $65.90. Resistance above: $68.35, $69.36, $71.43. Support below: $64.34, $62.58.
Watch $68.35 as the first upside level to clear, and $64.34 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$68.35
Resistance
$69.36
Resistance
$71.43
Support
$64.34
Support
$62.58
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-1.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($70.84).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 31 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.517) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.24).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($69.10).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:07.269045124Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.