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MPC (MPC) — Uptrend in force
MPC (MPC) is trading at $354.02, +55.82 (+18.72%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +76.5% move. Price is -0.7% from its 6-month high and +83.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MPC (MPC) is trading at $354.02. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +76.5% move.
Price is -0.7% from the 6-month high and +83.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($319.19, +10.9%) and above the 50-day SMA ($287.74).
Bollinger Bands Momentum extension — closing above the upper band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $354.02, upper $351.88, middle $318.01, lower $284.14. Price is momentum extension — closing above the upper band.
Bandwidth is 21.3% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 72.6. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $15.36, signal $11.81, histogram +3.553.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.14) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is near highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($354.02) is +40.1% above the anchored VWAP ($252.71). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 0 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $354.02. Resistance above: none nearby. Support below: $315.68, $311.01, $304.90.
Support
$315.68
Support
$311.01
Support
$304.90
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+76.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($287.74).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 73 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+3.553) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.03).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($252.71).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:07.610990624Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.