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MPWR (MPWR) — Uptrend in force
MPWR (MPWR) is trading at $1,439.73, +72.3 (+5.79%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +22.0% move. Price is -14.8% from its 6-month high and +26.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MPWR (MPWR) is trading at $1,439.73. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +22.0% move.
Price is -14.8% from the 6-month high and +26.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($1,312.60, +9.7%) and above the 50-day SMA ($1,306.65).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $1,439.73, upper $1,479.16, middle $1,283.75, lower $1,088.35. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 30.4% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 83.7. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $35.70, signal $14.12, histogram +21.577.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.22) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($1,439.73) is +2.4% above the anchored VWAP ($1,405.38). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $1,439.73. Resistance above: $1,448.76, $1,464.99. Support below: $1,411.60, $1,347.85, $1,297.30.
Watch $1,448.76 as the first upside level to clear, and $1,411.60 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$1,448.76
Resistance
$1,464.99
Support
$1,411.60
Support
$1,347.85
Support
$1,297.30
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+22.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($1,306.65).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 84 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+21.577) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.90).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($1,405.38).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:36.797984042Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.