MRNA (MRNA) — Uptrend in force
MRNA (MRNA) is trading at $63.60, +4.43 (+7.49%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +44.8% move. Price is -22.2% from its 6-month high and +44.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~70%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 0 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MRNA (MRNA) is trading at $63.60. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +44.8% move.
Price is -22.2% from the 6-month high and +44.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~70%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($58.09, +9.5%) and above the 50-day SMA ($60.81).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $63.60, upper $64.15, middle $57.98, lower $51.82. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 21.3% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 69.9. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.15, signal $-0.81, histogram +0.961.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.01) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($63.60) is +14.2% above the anchored VWAP ($55.69). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $63.60. Resistance above: $64.15, $85.60. Support below: $59.85, $57.91, $55.88.
Watch $64.15 as the first upside level to clear, and $59.85 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$64.15
Resistance
$85.60
Support
$59.85
Support
$57.91
Support
$55.88
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+44.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($60.81).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 70 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.961) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.96).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($55.69).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:07.817613965Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.