MRNA (MRNA) — Uptrend in force
MRNA (MRNA) is trading at $190.01, -8.87 (56.6%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +289.6% move. Price is -6.6% from its 6-month high and +318.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~80%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MRNA (MRNA) is trading at $190.01. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +289.6% move.
Price is -6.6% from the 6-month high and +318.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~80%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($179.67, +5.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($126.35).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $190.01, upper $217.61, middle $169.91, lower $122.22. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 56.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 72.7. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $18.97, signal $19.81, histogram -0.843.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.22) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting near highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($190.01) is +66.0% above the anchored VWAP ($114.48). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $190.01. Resistance above: $208.90, $217.61. Support below: $169.91, $145.10, $133.33.
Watch $208.90 as the first upside level to clear, and $169.91 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$208.90
Resistance
$217.61
Support
$169.91
Support
$145.10
Support
$133.33
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+289.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($126.35).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 73 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.843) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.71).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($114.48).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:36.905205456Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.