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MSCI (MSCI) — Range-bound
MSCI (MSCI) is trading at $570.99, +7.82 (+1.39%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +9.5% move. Price is -11.3% from its 6-month high and +9.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~39%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
MSCI (MSCI) is trading at $570.99. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +9.5% move.
Price is -11.3% from the 6-month high and +9.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~39%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($570.90) and below the 50-day SMA ($587.30).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $570.99, upper $600.62, middle $571.23, lower $541.84. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 50.7. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-6.43, signal $-6.82, histogram +0.389.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.14) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($570.99) is -0.8% below the anchored VWAP ($575.64). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $570.99. Resistance above: $580.49, $589.99, $600.62. Support below: $566.79, $548.01, $541.84.
Watch $580.49 as the first upside level to clear, and $566.79 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$580.49
Resistance
$589.99
Resistance
$600.62
Support
$566.79
Support
$548.01
Support
$541.84
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($587.30).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.389) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.50).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($575.64).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:08.329003012Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.