MSCI (MSCI) — Range-bound
MSCI (MSCI) is trading at $535.95, -15.41 (-1.73%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is flat with a -2.0% move. Price is -16.8% from its 6-month high and +0.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 5 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
MSCI (MSCI) is trading at $535.95. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -2.0% move.
Price is -16.8% from the 6-month high and 0.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($546.46, -1.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($560.26).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $535.95, upper $561.79, middle $547.94, lower $534.09. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 5.1% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 41.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-6.64, signal $-5.76, histogram -0.886.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.00) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($535.95) is -7.1% below the anchored VWAP ($576.86). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $535.95. Resistance above: $540.46, $548.68, $555.80. Support below: $533.45.
Watch $540.46 as the first upside level to clear, and $533.45 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$540.46
Resistance
$548.68
Resistance
$555.80
Support
$533.45
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($560.26).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 41 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.886) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.07).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($576.86).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:37.319422009Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.