Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) — Uptrend in force
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) is trading at $517.53, +1.36 (+92.2%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +38.8% move. Price is +0.0% from its 6-month high and +46.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 0 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) is trading at $517.53. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +38.8% move.
Price is 0.0% from the 6-month high and +46.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($504.81, +2.5%) and above the 50-day SMA ($490.44).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $517.53, upper $520.50, middle $502.56, lower $484.62. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 7.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 66.8. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $8.02, signal $7.56, histogram +0.459.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.17) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($517.53) is +21.1% above the anchored VWAP ($427.30). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $517.53. Resistance above: $517.78. Support below: $506.39, $500.80, $491.22.
Watch $517.78 as the first upside level to clear, and $506.39 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$517.78
Support
$506.39
Support
$500.80
Support
$491.22
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+38.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($490.44).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 67 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.459) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.92).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($427.30).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:01:51.868208726Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.