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MSTR (MSTR) — Uptrend in force
MSTR (MSTR) is trading at $160.01, +1.4 (+-30.5%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +25.3% move. Price is -18.3% from its 6-month high and +94.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~93%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MSTR (MSTR) is trading at $160.01. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +25.3% move.
Price is -18.3% from the 6-month high and +94.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~93%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($153.71, +4.1%) and above the 50-day SMA ($124.97).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $160.01, upper $177.34, middle $148.57, lower $119.79. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 38.7% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 70.0. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $9.93, signal $10.50, histogram -0.573.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.25) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($160.01) is +23.9% above the anchored VWAP ($129.17). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $160.01. Resistance above: $161.58, $171.19, $177.34. Support below: $152.02, $148.57, $137.07.
Watch $161.58 as the first upside level to clear, and $152.02 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$161.58
Resistance
$171.19
Resistance
$177.34
Support
$152.02
Support
$148.57
Support
$137.07
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+25.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($124.97).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 70 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.573) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.70).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($129.17).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:03:00.047975999Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.