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MSTR (MSTR) — Range-bound
MSTR (MSTR) is trading at $92.80, -7.21 (-7.21%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a -27.9% move. Price is -52.6% from its 6-month high and +12.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~54%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 4 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
MSTR (MSTR) is trading at $92.80. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -27.9% move.
Price is -52.6% from the 6-month high and +12.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~54%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($96.34, -3.7%) and below the 50-day SMA ($101.44).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $92.80, upper $101.79, middle $96.51, lower $91.22. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 10.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 40.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.06, signal $-2.63, histogram +0.578.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.95) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($92.80) is -27.6% below the anchored VWAP ($128.24). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $92.80. Resistance above: $93.64, $95.04, $100.05. Support below: $91.22, $89.21, $81.81.
Watch $93.64 as the first upside level to clear, and $91.22 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$93.64
Resistance
$95.04
Resistance
$100.05
Support
$91.22
Support
$89.21
Support
$81.81
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($101.44).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 41 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.578) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.15).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($128.24).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:32.639052408Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.