MTB (MTB) — Range-bound
MTB (MTB) is trading at $254.28, +3.83 (+1.53%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +11.3% move. Price is +0.0% from its 6-month high and +29.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 1 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
MTB (MTB) is trading at $254.28. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +11.3% move.
Price is 0.0% from the 6-month high and +29.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($250.93, +1.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($240.89).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $254.28, upper $255.09, middle $250.42, lower $245.74. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 3.7% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 63.9. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $3.49, signal $3.83, histogram -0.331.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.95) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($254.28) is +13.7% above the anchored VWAP ($223.63). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $254.28. Resistance above: $254.69. Support below: $249.83, $246.91, $244.29.
Watch $254.69 as the first upside level to clear, and $249.83 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$254.69
Support
$249.83
Support
$246.91
Support
$244.29
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($240.89).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 64 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.331) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.91).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($223.63).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:08.675823778Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.