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MTD (MTD) — Uptrend in force
MTD (MTD) is trading at $1,414.19, -15.27 (-1.07%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +4.5% move. Price is -2.1% from its 6-month high and +37.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MTD (MTD) is trading at $1,414.19. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +4.5% move.
Price is -2.1% from the 6-month high and +37.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($1,414.15) and above the 50-day SMA ($1,290.57).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $1,414.19, upper $1,496.48, middle $1,386.46, lower $1,276.44. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.9% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 64.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $40.69, signal $44.08, histogram -3.394.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.92) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting near highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($1,414.19) is +13.7% above the anchored VWAP ($1,244.21). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $1,414.19. Resistance above: $1,423.14, $1,465.01, $1,496.48. Support below: $1,402.97, $1,383.26, $1,358.58.
Watch $1,423.14 as the first upside level to clear, and $1,402.97 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$1,423.14
Resistance
$1,465.01
Resistance
$1,496.48
Support
$1,402.97
Support
$1,383.26
Support
$1,358.58
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+4.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($1,290.57).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 64 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-3.394) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.63).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($1,244.21).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:08.779165275Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.