MTD (MTD) — Uptrend in force
MTD (MTD) is trading at $1,486.19, -25.45 (33.9%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +17.3% move. Price is -3.8% from its 6-month high and +44.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 7 bullish, 0 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
MTD (MTD) is trading at $1,486.19. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +17.3% move.
Price is -3.8% from the 6-month high and +44.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($1,466.88, +1.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($1,411.65).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $1,486.19, upper $1,607.41, middle $1,423.95, lower $1,240.49. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 25.8% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 68.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $36.52, signal $31.98, histogram +4.535.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.17) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($1,486.19) is +15.5% above the anchored VWAP ($1,286.25). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $1,486.19. Resistance above: $1,554.83, $1,607.41. Support below: $1,473.81, $1,419.41, $1,400.61.
Watch $1,554.83 as the first upside level to clear, and $1,473.81 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$1,554.83
Resistance
$1,607.41
Support
$1,473.81
Support
$1,419.41
Support
$1,400.61
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+17.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($1,411.65).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 69 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+4.535) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.67).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($1,286.25).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:37.747781764Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.