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NEM (NEM) — Uptrend in force
NEM (NEM) is trading at $117.74, +4.76 (+4.21%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -3.7% move. Price is -9.4% from its 6-month high and +32.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~46%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
NEM (NEM) is trading at $117.74. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -3.7% move.
Price is -9.4% from the 6-month high and +32.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~46%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($104.39, +12.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($99.09).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $117.74, upper $122.22, middle $101.56, lower $80.89. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 40.7% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 80.3. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $5.54, signal $3.15, histogram +2.398.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.25) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($117.74) is +9.8% above the anchored VWAP ($107.27). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $117.74. Resistance above: $120.19, $122.22. Support below: $117.65, $101.56, $95.34.
Watch $120.19 as the first upside level to clear, and $117.65 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$120.19
Resistance
$122.22
Support
$117.65
Support
$101.56
Support
$95.34
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-3.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($99.09).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 80 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+2.398) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.89).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($107.27).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:09.664458012Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.