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NOC (NOC) — Downtrend in force
NOC (NOC) is trading at $478.00, -32.52 (-83.0%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -31.3% move. Price is -31.3% from its 6-month high and +0.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
NOC (NOC) is trading at $478.00. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -31.3% move.
Price is -31.3% from the 6-month high and 0.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($507.72, -5.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($536.84).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $478.00, upper $544.87, middle $510.76, lower $476.65. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 13.4% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 11.7. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-14.99, signal $-11.51, histogram -3.484.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.91) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($478.00) is -12.7% below the anchored VWAP ($547.40). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $478.00. Resistance above: $523.01, $529.00, $536.62. Support below: $476.65.
Watch $523.01 as the first upside level to clear, and $476.65 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$523.01
Resistance
$529.00
Resistance
$536.62
Support
$476.65
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-31.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($536.84).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 12 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-3.484) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.02).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($547.40).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:39.442995035Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.