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NSC (NSC) — Downtrend in force
NSC (NSC) is trading at $317.44, +4.44 (+2.31%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +10.2% move. Price is -10.1% from its 6-month high and +10.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 5 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
NSC (NSC) is trading at $317.44. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +10.2% move.
Price is -10.1% from the 6-month high and +10.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~17%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($314.32) and below the 50-day SMA ($330.59).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $317.44, upper $326.31, middle $316.48, lower $306.65. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.2% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 50.7. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.93, signal $-5.73, histogram +0.801.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.72). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($317.44) is -0.9% below the anchored VWAP ($320.42). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $317.44. Resistance above: $321.78, $326.31, $336.37. Support below: $316.48, $313.02, $305.43.
Watch $321.78 as the first upside level to clear, and $316.48 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$321.78
Resistance
$326.31
Resistance
$336.37
Support
$316.48
Support
$313.02
Support
$305.43
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+10.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($330.59).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.801) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.55).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.72) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($320.42).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:39.304400486Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.