NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) — Uptrend in force
NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is trading at $233.95, +8.88 (+1.34%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +31.7% move. Price is -0.8% from its 6-month high and +31.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is trading at $233.95. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +31.7% move.
Price is -0.8% from the 6-month high and +31.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($225.49, +3.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($218.82).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $233.95, upper $236.94, middle $223.97, lower $210.99. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 11.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 82.0. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $3.78, signal $2.88, histogram +0.893.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.03) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($233.95) is +10.9% above the anchored VWAP ($210.98). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $233.95. Resistance above: $234.76. Support below: $229.63, $226.50, $223.97.
Watch $234.76 as the first upside level to clear, and $229.63 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$234.76
Support
$229.63
Support
$226.50
Support
$223.97
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+31.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($218.82).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 82 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.893) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.88).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($210.98).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T15:02:04.751729911Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.