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NXPI (NXPI) — Downtrend in force
NXPI (NXPI) is trading at $232.63, -7.08 (-2.95%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -5.1% move. Price is -30.1% from its 6-month high and +24.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
NXPI (NXPI) is trading at $232.63. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -5.1% move.
Price is -30.1% from the 6-month high and +24.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($238.28, -2.4%) and below the 50-day SMA ($273.67).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $232.63, upper $283.07, middle $247.00, lower $210.92. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 29.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 33.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-12.47, signal $-12.81, histogram +0.342.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.81) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($232.63) is -11.1% below the anchored VWAP ($261.72). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $232.63. Resistance above: $236.65, $242.49, $271.09. Support below: $226.76, $218.24, $210.92.
Watch $236.65 as the first upside level to clear, and $226.76 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$236.65
Resistance
$242.49
Resistance
$271.09
Support
$226.76
Support
$218.24
Support
$210.92
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-5.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($273.67).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 34 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.342) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.30).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($261.72).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:11.289345548Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.