Oracle Corp. (ORCL) — Downtrend in force
Oracle Corp. (ORCL) is trading at $142.30, +5.2 (+3.06%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -2.2% move. Price is -42.7% from its 6-month high and +23.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Oracle Corp. (ORCL) is trading at $142.30. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -2.2% move.
Price is -42.7% from the 6-month high and +23.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($142.07) and below the 50-day SMA ($144.14).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $142.30, upper $160.57, middle $145.16, lower $129.75. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 21.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 52.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.20, signal $-1.72, histogram -0.486.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.04) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($142.30) is -10.1% below the anchored VWAP ($158.24). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $142.30. Resistance above: $143.67, $145.12, $146.69. Support below: $139.00, $137.43, $131.58.
Watch $143.67 as the first upside level to clear, and $139.00 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$143.67
Resistance
$145.12
Resistance
$146.69
Support
$139.00
Support
$137.43
Support
$131.58
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-2.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($144.14).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 53 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.486) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.41).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($158.24).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:40.972085533Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.