ORLY

NASDAQ: ORLY

84.90
-1.22 (-15.30%)

USD · Cached quote

Volume underlay MA (50) Bollinger Bands (20, 2) RSI (14) — 80/20 MACD (12, 26, 9) Accumulation/Distribution Anchored VWAP Historical Volatility (10, 252)
ORLY advanced chart — Yahoo Finance

Advanced chart with volume, red MA(50), Bollinger Bands, RSI, and MACD. Chart PNG auto-refreshes every 4 hours from the scraper. Updated 2026-10-03T17:17:41.083909109Z

article Analysis

ORLY (ORLY) — Range-bound

ORLY (ORLY) is trading at $84.90, -1.22 (-15.3%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is flat with a -7.8% move. Price is -14.6% from its 6-month high and +2.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.

Probability scenarios

Bullish
20%
Neutral
30%
Bearish
50%

Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 4 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.

Timeframe ratings

Long-term
★★★★★ Bearish
Intermediate
★★★★★ Bearish
Short-term
★★★★★ Bearish

Trend Range-bound / consolidating

ORLY (ORLY) is trading at $84.90. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -7.8% move.

Price is -14.6% from the 6-month high and +2.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.

Price is on the 15-day MA ($85.21) and below the 50-day SMA ($88.33).

Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $84.90, upper $87.35, middle $85.44, lower $83.53. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.

Bandwidth is 4.5% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Below 50

RSI(14) is 47.4. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.74, signal $-0.84, histogram +0.097.

The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.

Volume Analysis Balanced volume

Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.26) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold

The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater

Price ($84.90) is -4.7% below the anchored VWAP ($89.09). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels

Current price $84.90. Resistance above: $86.32, $87.35, $88.79. Support below: $84.84, $83.90, $82.83.

Watch $86.32 as the first upside level to clear, and $84.84 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Resistance $86.32
Resistance $87.35
Resistance $88.79
Support $84.84
Support $83.90
Support $82.83

Signal breakdown

  • Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
  • Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($88.33).
  • RSI (14) Bearish RSI 47 — below 50, momentum fading.
  • MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.097) — fast line above signal.
  • Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.36).
  • Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
  • A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
  • AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($89.09).

Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:41.083909109Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.