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OXY (OXY) — Downtrend in force
OXY (OXY) is trading at $58.08, +1.22 (+41.5%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -7.8% move. Price is -8.6% from its 6-month high and +21.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~33%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
OXY (OXY) is trading at $58.08. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -7.8% move.
Price is -8.6% from the 6-month high and +21.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~33%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($57.81) and below the 50-day SMA ($58.40).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $58.08, upper $63.26, middle $58.68, lower $54.10. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 38.0. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.57, signal $-0.45, histogram -0.121.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.96) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($58.08) is +2.2% above the anchored VWAP ($56.81). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $58.08. Resistance above: $58.76, $60.38, $61.49. Support below: $57.18, $56.18, $54.76.
Watch $58.76 as the first upside level to clear, and $57.18 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$58.76
Resistance
$60.38
Resistance
$61.49
Support
$57.18
Support
$56.18
Support
$54.76
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-7.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($58.40).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 38 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.121) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.43).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($56.81).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:41.340288726Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.