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PAYX (PAYX) — Downtrend in force
PAYX (PAYX) is trading at $98.94, -2.43 (-1.88%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +7.7% move. Price is -22.3% from its 6-month high and +15.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 7 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
PAYX (PAYX) is trading at $98.94. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +7.7% move.
Price is -22.3% from the 6-month high and +15.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($106.70, -7.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($116.76).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $98.94, upper $125.16, middle $109.08, lower $93.01. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 29.5% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 12.2. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.61, signal $-4.43, histogram -1.185.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.70). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($98.94) is -5.1% below the anchored VWAP ($104.25). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $98.94. Resistance above: $99.67, $101.33, $115.81. Support below: $98.00, $93.01.
Watch $99.67 as the first upside level to clear, and $98.00 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$99.67
Resistance
$101.33
Resistance
$115.81
Support
$98.00
Support
$93.01
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+7.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($116.76).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 12 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.185) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.18).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.70) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($104.25).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:41.598056392Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.