PGR

PGR (PGR) — Downtrend in force

PGR (PGR) is trading at $210.31, +4.81 (+-30.8%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +7.1% move. Price is -10.3% from its 6-month high and +10.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.

Trend Downtrend in force

PGR (PGR) is trading at $210.31. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +7.1% move.

Price is -10.3% from the 6-month high and +10.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.

Price is on the 15-day MA ($210.46) and below the 50-day SMA ($214.29).

Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $210.31, upper $222.73, middle $212.11, lower $201.49. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.

Bandwidth is 10.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Below 50

RSI(14) is 38.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.97, signal $-1.95, histogram -0.017.

The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.

Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control

Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.75). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold

The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit

Price ($210.31) is +0.9% above the anchored VWAP ($208.41). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels

Current price $210.31. Resistance above: $215.52, $219.14, $222.08. Support below: $207.01, $203.18, $200.96.

Watch $215.52 as the first upside level to clear, and $207.01 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Signal breakdown

• Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+7.1% over the period).
• Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($214.29).
• RSI (14) Bearish RSI 39 — below 50, momentum fading.
• MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.017) — fast line below signal.
• Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.42).
• Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.75) — distribution.
• A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
• AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($208.41).

Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:42.612980777Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.