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PGR (PGR) — Range-bound
PGR (PGR) is trading at $210.66, -4.67 (-2.17%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +1.3% move. Price is -10.2% from its 6-month high and +10.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~39%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
PGR (PGR) is trading at $210.66. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +1.3% move.
Price is -10.2% from the 6-month high and +10.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~39%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($213.19, -1.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($213.73).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $210.66, upper $220.08, middle $212.07, lower $204.06. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 41.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.13, signal $-0.63, histogram -0.494.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.04) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($210.66) is +2.1% above the anchored VWAP ($206.42). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $210.66. Resistance above: $211.00, $215.99, $220.08. Support below: $205.90, $203.08.
Watch $211.00 as the first upside level to clear, and $205.90 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$211.00
Resistance
$215.99
Resistance
$220.08
Support
$205.90
Support
$203.08
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($213.73).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 42 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.494) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.41).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($206.42).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:13.855249687Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.