PHM (PHM) — Range-bound
PHM (PHM) is trading at $115.73, -4.12 (-53.3%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is flat with a -3.4% move. Price is -16.1% from its 6-month high and +5.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
PHM (PHM) is trading at $115.73. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -3.4% move.
Price is -16.1% from the 6-month high and +5.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($118.17, -2.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($124.73).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $115.73, upper $121.50, middle $118.26, lower $115.02. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 5.5% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 38.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.22, signal $-2.18, histogram -0.041.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.76). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($115.73) is -6.3% below the anchored VWAP ($123.57). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $115.73. Resistance above: $116.38, $117.58, $118.88. Support below: $114.78, $112.52.
Watch $116.38 as the first upside level to clear, and $114.78 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$116.38
Resistance
$117.58
Resistance
$118.88
Support
$114.78
Support
$112.52
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($124.73).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 39 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.041) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.11).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.76) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($123.57).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:42.954019336Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.