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PM (PM) — Downtrend in force
PM (PM) is trading at $189.90, +0.33 (+0.17%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +3.4% move. Price is -5.1% from its 6-month high and +23.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~31%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
PM (PM) is trading at $189.90. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +3.4% move.
Price is -5.1% from the 6-month high and +23.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~31%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($190.35) and above the 50-day SMA ($185.00).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $189.90, upper $198.57, middle $190.72, lower $182.86. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 43.2. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.62, signal $1.29, histogram -0.665.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.98) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($189.90) is +7.0% above the anchored VWAP ($177.54). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $189.90. Resistance above: $191.54, $198.57, $207.76. Support below: $185.89, $182.86, $179.65.
Watch $191.54 as the first upside level to clear, and $185.89 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$191.54
Resistance
$198.57
Resistance
$207.76
Support
$185.89
Support
$182.86
Support
$179.65
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+3.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($185.00).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 43 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.665) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.45).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($177.54).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:14.636399037Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.