PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) — Uptrend in force
PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) is trading at $60.05, +0.98 (+1.66%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +47.1% move. Price is -0.9% from its 6-month high and +47.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~52%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) is trading at $60.05. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +47.1% move.
Price is -0.9% from the 6-month high and +47.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~52%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($58.58, +2.5%) and above the 50-day SMA ($50.02).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $60.05, upper $60.90, middle $57.95, lower $55.01. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 10.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 68.8. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $2.67, signal $2.90, histogram -0.231.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.13) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting near highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($60.05) is +27.4% above the anchored VWAP ($47.14). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $60.05. Resistance above: $60.90. Support below: $58.81, $57.89, $56.57.
Watch $60.90 as the first upside level to clear, and $58.81 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$60.90
Support
$58.81
Support
$57.89
Support
$56.57
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+47.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($50.02).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 69 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.231) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.86).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($47.14).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:16.537706100Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.