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Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) — Downtrend in force
Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) is trading at $164.30, -3.56 (-2.12%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +15.2% move. Price is -34.5% from its 6-month high and +32.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~45%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) is trading at $164.30. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +15.2% move.
Price is -34.5% from the 6-month high and +32.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~45%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($160.32, +2.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($183.84).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $164.30, upper $177.76, middle $163.12, lower $148.48. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 17.9% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 48.5. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.33, signal $-7.31, histogram +1.988.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.08) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($164.30) is -9.3% below the anchored VWAP ($181.18). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $164.30. Resistance above: $164.61, $168.87, $172.39. Support below: $163.12, $161.07, $155.22.
Watch $164.61 as the first upside level to clear, and $163.12 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$164.61
Resistance
$168.87
Resistance
$172.39
Support
$163.12
Support
$161.07
Support
$155.22
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+15.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($183.84).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 48 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.988) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.54).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($181.18).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:16.730836249Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.