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RCL (RCL) — Uptrend in force
RCL (RCL) is trading at $277.74, +35.04 (+2.87%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +0.7% move. Price is -15.2% from its 6-month high and +20.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 3 bullish, 3 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
RCL (RCL) is trading at $277.74. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +0.7% move.
Price is -15.2% from the 6-month high and +20.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($252.70, +9.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($281.77).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $277.74, upper $280.17, middle $254.46, lower $228.76. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 20.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 71.4. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.28, signal $-7.92, histogram +5.643.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.97) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($277.74) is -0.3% below the anchored VWAP ($278.54). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $277.74. Resistance above: $280.17, $294.31, $298.86. Support below: $259.84, $254.46, $248.64.
Watch $280.17 as the first upside level to clear, and $259.84 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$280.17
Resistance
$294.31
Resistance
$298.86
Support
$259.84
Support
$254.46
Support
$248.64
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+0.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($281.77).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 71 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+5.643) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.95).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($278.54).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:45.851777681Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.