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RCL (RCL) — Uptrend in force
RCL (RCL) is trading at $306.30, -13.7 (-4.28%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -5.4% move. Price is -6.5% from its 6-month high and +23.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~32%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 3 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
RCL (RCL) is trading at $306.30. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -5.4% move.
Price is -6.5% from the 6-month high and +23.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~32%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($316.56, -3.2%) and above the 50-day SMA ($301.92).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $306.30, upper $338.15, middle $309.26, lower $280.38. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 18.7% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 45.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $3.72, signal $5.42, histogram -1.702.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 18 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.63× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($306.30) is +7.1% above the anchored VWAP ($286.07). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $306.30. Resistance above: $309.75, $321.13, $328.87. Support below: $302.99, $288.06, $284.92.
Watch $309.75 as the first upside level to clear, and $302.99 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$309.75
Resistance
$321.13
Resistance
$328.87
Support
$302.99
Support
$288.06
Support
$284.92
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-5.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($301.92).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 45 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.702) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.45).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.63× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($286.07).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:16.858751221Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.