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RJF (RJF) — Downtrend in force
RJF (RJF) is trading at $158.21, -1.66 (-97.0%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +11.6% move. Price is -12.7% from its 6-month high and +11.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 5 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
RJF (RJF) is trading at $158.21. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +11.6% move.
Price is -12.7% from the 6-month high and +11.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($161.23, -1.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($172.28).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $158.21, upper $176.92, middle $164.41, lower $151.91. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 28.9. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.15, signal $-3.82, histogram -0.333.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.47× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($158.21) is -1.5% below the anchored VWAP ($160.61). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $158.21. Resistance above: $159.05, $161.76, $164.90. Support below: $155.50, $151.91.
Watch $159.05 as the first upside level to clear, and $155.50 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$159.05
Resistance
$161.76
Resistance
$164.90
Support
$155.50
Support
$151.91
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+11.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($172.28).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 29 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.333) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.25).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.47× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($160.61).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:46.546653766Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.