ROK (ROK) — Downtrend in force
ROK (ROK) is trading at $448.81, +7.76 (+1.76%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +15.5% move. Price is -9.3% from its 6-month high and +28.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ROK (ROK) is trading at $448.81. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +15.5% move.
Price is -9.3% from the 6-month high and +28.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($455.65, -1.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($462.81).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $448.81, upper $482.16, middle $456.96, lower $431.76. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 11.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 43.4. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.19, signal $-3.80, histogram -1.392.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.98) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($448.81) is +5.5% above the anchored VWAP ($425.46). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $448.81. Resistance above: $453.42, $463.17, $469.60. Support below: $445.83, $431.76.
Watch $453.42 as the first upside level to clear, and $445.83 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$453.42
Resistance
$463.17
Resistance
$469.60
Support
$445.83
Support
$431.76
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+15.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($462.81).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 43 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.392) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.34).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($425.46).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:17.908535143Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.