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ROST (ROST) — Uptrend in force
ROST (ROST) is trading at $228.54, -7.58 (-2.37%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +3.3% move. Price is -10.5% from its 6-month high and +9.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Uptrend, momentum cooling
ROST (ROST) is trading at $228.54. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +3.3% move.
The 6-month trend is up, but the most recent ~20 sessions are off 0.3% — momentum is cooling rather than accelerating. Price sits -10.5% from the 6-month high and +9.4% from the low.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($231.50, -1.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($237.56).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $228.54, upper $238.15, middle $230.67, lower $223.18. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.5% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 48.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.57, signal $-0.66, histogram +0.089.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.90) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($228.54) is -0.2% below the anchored VWAP ($229.08). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $228.54. Resistance above: $229.86, $232.94, $235.73. Support below: $228.05, $224.50, $222.15.
Watch $229.86 as the first upside level to clear, and $228.05 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$229.86
Resistance
$232.94
Resistance
$235.73
Support
$228.05
Support
$224.50
Support
$222.15
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+3.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($237.56).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 49 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.089) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.36).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($229.08).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:47.539325840Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.