Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) — Uptrend in force
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) is trading at $108.05, +2.47 (+2.34%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +13.3% move. Price is -0.5% from its 6-month high and +24.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) is trading at $108.05. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +13.3% move.
Price is -0.5% from the 6-month high and +24.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($105.56, +2.4%) and above the 50-day SMA ($103.47).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $108.05, upper $108.48, middle $105.16, lower $101.84. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 6.3% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 65.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.04, signal $0.72, histogram +0.324.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.92) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($108.05) is +7.5% above the anchored VWAP ($100.53). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $108.05. Resistance above: $108.46. Support below: $106.15, $104.29, $103.18.
Watch $108.46 as the first upside level to clear, and $106.15 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$108.46
Support
$106.15
Support
$104.29
Support
$103.18
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+13.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($103.47).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 66 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.324) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.94).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($100.53).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:19.110367362Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.