SCHW (SCHW) — Downtrend in force
SCHW (SCHW) is trading at $96.70, -2.33 (-1.7%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +4.0% move. Price is -14.9% from its 6-month high and +13.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
SCHW (SCHW) is trading at $96.70. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +4.0% move.
Price is -14.9% from the 6-month high and +13.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($101.00, -4.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($106.22).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $96.70, upper $110.78, middle $102.51, lower $94.25. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 16.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 20.3. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.77, signal $-2.13, histogram -0.640.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.06) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($96.70) is -0.2% below the anchored VWAP ($96.89). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $96.70. Resistance above: $98.50, $105.39, $107.41. Support below: $94.25.
Watch $98.50 as the first upside level to clear, and $94.25 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$98.50
Resistance
$105.39
Resistance
$107.41
Support
$94.25
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+4.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($106.22).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 20 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.640) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.15).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($96.89).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:48.655500348Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.