SHOP (SHOP) — Uptrend in force
SHOP (SHOP) is trading at $155.15, +3.58 (+2.36%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +36.6% move. Price is -2.1% from its 6-month high and +62.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~71%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
SHOP (SHOP) is trading at $155.15. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +36.6% move.
Price is -2.1% from the 6-month high and +62.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~71%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($138.75, +11.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($122.93).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $155.15, upper $165.15, middle $133.65, lower $102.15. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 47.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 70.5. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $9.70, signal $7.07, histogram +2.639.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.83) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($155.15) is +29.9% above the anchored VWAP ($119.40). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $155.15. Resistance above: $155.62, $165.15. Support below: $151.56, $148.70, $133.65.
Watch $155.62 as the first upside level to clear, and $151.56 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$155.62
Resistance
$165.15
Support
$151.56
Support
$148.70
Support
$133.65
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+36.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($122.93).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 70 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+2.639) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.84).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($119.40).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:32.829983438Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.