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SJM (SJM) — Range-bound
SJM (SJM) is trading at $120.70, +0.53 (+0.44%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +13.6% move. Price is -4.5% from its 6-month high and +34.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 1 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
SJM (SJM) is trading at $120.70. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +13.6% move.
Price is -4.5% from the 6-month high and +34.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($120.15) and above the 50-day SMA ($114.77).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $120.70, upper $124.83, middle $119.13, lower $113.43. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 9.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 50.8. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.66, signal $1.94, histogram -0.275.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.09) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($120.70) is +13.4% above the anchored VWAP ($106.41). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $120.70. Resistance above: $120.99, $124.83, $127.65. Support below: $119.13, $117.82, $115.10.
Watch $120.99 as the first upside level to clear, and $119.13 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$120.99
Resistance
$124.83
Resistance
$127.65
Support
$119.13
Support
$117.82
Support
$115.10
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($114.77).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.275) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.64).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($106.41).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:19.378079950Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.