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SO (SO) — Downtrend in force
SO (SO) is trading at $93.30, +0.61 (+0.66%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +1.4% move. Price is -5.9% from its 6-month high and +4.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~16%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
SO (SO) is trading at $93.30. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +1.4% move.
Price is -5.9% from the 6-month high and +4.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~16%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($93.66) and below the 50-day SMA ($94.56).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $93.30, upper $97.60, middle $94.14, lower $90.69. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 36.7. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.74, signal $-0.57, histogram -0.162.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.25) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($93.30) is -1.5% below the anchored VWAP ($94.75). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $93.30. Resistance above: $93.54, $95.93, $97.25. Support below: $93.21, $92.00, $90.69.
Watch $93.54 as the first upside level to clear, and $93.21 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$93.54
Resistance
$95.93
Resistance
$97.25
Support
$93.21
Support
$92.00
Support
$90.69
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+1.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($94.56).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 37 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.162) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.38).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($94.75).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:20.161566233Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.