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STZ (STZ) — Uptrend in force
STZ (STZ) is trading at $138.55, +2.79 (+2.06%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -9.3% move. Price is -16.6% from its 6-month high and +7.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
STZ (STZ) is trading at $138.55. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -9.3% move.
Price is -16.6% from the 6-month high and +7.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($132.80, +4.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($136.23).
Bollinger Bands Momentum extension — closing above the upper band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $138.55, upper $137.21, middle $132.43, lower $127.65. Price is momentum extension — closing above the upper band.
Bandwidth is 7.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 75.5. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.10, signal $-0.94, histogram +1.041.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.92) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($138.55) is -4.8% below the anchored VWAP ($145.53). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $138.55. Resistance above: $139.75, $145.23, $148.12. Support below: $133.72, $131.67, $130.08.
Watch $139.75 as the first upside level to clear, and $133.72 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$139.75
Resistance
$145.23
Resistance
$148.12
Support
$133.72
Support
$131.67
Support
$130.08
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-9.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($136.23).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 75 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.041) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.14).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($145.53).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:21.359206971Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.