STZ (STZ) — Downtrend in force
STZ (STZ) is trading at $112.87, -0.76 (-10.6%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -27.3% move. Price is -32.1% from its 6-month high and +0.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
STZ (STZ) is trading at $112.87. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -27.3% move.
Price is -32.1% from the 6-month high and +0.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($116.40, -3.0%) and below the 50-day SMA ($126.69).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $112.87, upper $126.85, middle $117.99, lower $109.12. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.0% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 3.3. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.43, signal $-4.27, histogram -0.158.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.98) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($112.87) is -18.3% below the anchored VWAP ($138.12). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $112.87. Resistance above: $113.55, $122.67, $126.85. Support below: $111.54, $109.12.
Watch $113.55 as the first upside level to clear, and $111.54 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$113.55
Resistance
$122.67
Resistance
$126.85
Support
$111.54
Support
$109.12
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-27.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($126.69).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 3 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.158) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.21).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($138.12).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:50.835534115Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.