TJX (TJX) — Range-bound
TJX (TJX) is trading at $152.26, -9.1 (-5.64%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a -3.0% move. Price is -9.6% from its 6-month high and +3.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
TJX (TJX) is trading at $152.26. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -3.0% move.
Price is -9.6% from the 6-month high and +3.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~20%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($157.80, -3.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($157.70).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $152.26, upper $163.05, middle $157.04, lower $151.04. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 7.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 37.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.33, signal $0.35, histogram -0.686.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.21) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($152.26) is -3.1% below the anchored VWAP ($157.13). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $152.26. Resistance above: $152.30, $153.94, $155.74. Support below: $152.12, $150.25, $148.27.
Watch $152.30 as the first upside level to clear, and $152.12 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$152.30
Resistance
$153.94
Resistance
$155.74
Support
$152.12
Support
$150.25
Support
$148.27
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($157.70).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 38 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.686) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.10).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($157.13).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:23.531233250Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.