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TPL (TPL) — Downtrend in force
TPL (TPL) is trading at $340.19, -0.88 (1.11%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -24.2% move. Price is -24.4% from its 6-month high and +4.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 7 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
TPL (TPL) is trading at $340.19. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -24.2% move.
Price is -24.4% from the 6-month high and +4.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($344.45, -1.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($363.63).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $340.19, upper $383.40, middle $351.16, lower $318.92. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 18.4% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 38.4. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-9.41, signal $-8.90, histogram -0.504.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.27) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($340.19) is -12.5% below the anchored VWAP ($388.63). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $340.19. Resistance above: $342.67, $350.52, $367.07. Support below: $335.10, $324.80, $318.92.
Watch $342.67 as the first upside level to clear, and $335.10 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$342.67
Resistance
$350.52
Resistance
$367.07
Support
$335.10
Support
$324.80
Support
$318.92
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-24.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($363.63).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 38 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.504) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.33).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($388.63).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:53.469369244Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.