TPR (TPR) — Uptrend in force
TPR (TPR) is trading at $128.67, -33.7 (-20.76%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -16.4% move. Price is -21.9% from its 6-month high and +0.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~64%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 5 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Uptrend, momentum cooling
TPR (TPR) is trading at $128.67. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -16.4% move.
The 6-month trend is up, but the most recent ~20 sessions are off 8.8% — momentum is cooling rather than accelerating. Price sits -21.9% from the 6-month high and +0.2% from the low.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($152.31, -15.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($146.33).
Bollinger Bands Breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $128.67, upper $170.08, middle $149.67, lower $129.25. Price is breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band.
Bandwidth is 27.3% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 26.7. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.06, signal $2.70, histogram -2.754.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.59). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($128.67) is -11.0% below the anchored VWAP ($144.55). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 0 support levels
Current price $128.67. Resistance above: $138.64, $142.94, $146.77. Support below: none nearby.
Resistance
$138.64
Resistance
$142.94
Resistance
$146.77
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-16.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($146.33).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 27 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-2.754) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B -0.01).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.59) — distribution.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($144.55).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:24.144008778Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.