Travelers Companies Inc.

Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) — Downtrend in force

Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) is trading at $360.38, -2.66 (-34.8%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +21.9% move. Price is -9.3% from its 6-month high and +24.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~16%.

Trend Downtrend in force

Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) is trading at $360.38. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +21.9% move.

Price is -9.3% from the 6-month high and +24.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~16%.

Price is below the 15-day MA ($366.35, -1.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($371.08).

Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $360.38, upper $381.87, middle $367.43, lower $352.99. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.

Bandwidth is 7.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Weakening

RSI(14) is 28.4. Nearing the 30 oversold line.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.45, signal $-1.31, histogram -1.134.

The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.

Volume Analysis Balanced volume

Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.85) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing

The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit

Price ($360.38) is +6.8% above the anchored VWAP ($337.57). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels

Current price $360.38. Resistance above: $362.02, $367.08, $373.55. Support below: $358.88, $352.99.

Watch $362.02 as the first upside level to clear, and $358.88 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Signal breakdown

• Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+21.9% over the period).
• Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($371.08).
• RSI (14) Bullish RSI 28 — oversold, bounce setup.
• MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.134) — fast line below signal.
• Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.26).
• Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
• A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
• AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($337.57).

Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:16:52.728487517Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.