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Tesla Inc. (TSLA) — Range-bound
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is trading at $370.59, -1.52 (4.65%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is flat with a +5.0% move. Price is -16.8% from its 6-month high and +24.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~42%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 3 bullish, 3 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is trading at $370.59. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +5.0% move.
Price is -16.8% from the 6-month high and +24.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~42%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($365.99, +1.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($348.74).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $370.59, upper $382.44, middle $365.69, lower $348.94. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 9.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 59.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $2.25, signal $3.12, histogram -0.868.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.02) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($370.59) is -2.3% below the anchored VWAP ($379.40). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $370.59. Resistance above: $375.44, $382.44, $386.83. Support below: $365.69, $354.05, $348.94.
Watch $375.44 as the first upside level to clear, and $365.69 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$375.44
Resistance
$382.44
Resistance
$386.83
Support
$365.69
Support
$354.05
Support
$348.94
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($348.74).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 59 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.868) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.65).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($379.40).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:54.302504025Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.