Tesla Inc. (TSLA) — Downtrend in force
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is trading at $341.54, +12.96 (+3.94%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -16.8% move. Price is -23.3% from its 6-month high and +14.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~58%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is trading at $341.54. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -16.8% move.
Price is -23.3% from the 6-month high and +14.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~58%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($321.79, +6.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($371.07).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $341.54, upper $372.74, middle $329.10, lower $285.47. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 26.5% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 71.9. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-11.43, signal $-16.34, histogram +4.909.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.70). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($341.54) is -11.7% below the anchored VWAP ($386.97). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $341.54. Resistance above: $372.74, $379.12, $399.63. Support below: $329.10, $320.79, $315.52.
Watch $372.74 as the first upside level to clear, and $329.10 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$372.74
Resistance
$379.12
Resistance
$399.63
Support
$329.10
Support
$320.79
Support
$315.52
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-16.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($371.07).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 72 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+4.909) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.64).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.70) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($386.97).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:24.738336971Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.