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Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) — Downtrend in force
Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) is trading at $278.30, -7.78 (-2.72%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +23.3% move. Price is -16.2% from its 6-month high and +49.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) is trading at $278.30. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +23.3% move.
Price is -16.2% from the 6-month high and +49.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($277.81) and below the 50-day SMA ($292.12).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $278.30, upper $292.00, middle $280.06, lower $268.13. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 49.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.17, signal $-4.55, histogram +0.387.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.30) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($278.30) is +4.2% above the anchored VWAP ($267.06). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $278.30. Resistance above: $281.62, $285.58, $289.25. Support below: $275.78, $272.65, $268.13.
Watch $281.62 as the first upside level to clear, and $275.78 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$281.62
Resistance
$285.58
Resistance
$289.25
Support
$275.78
Support
$272.65
Support
$268.13
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+23.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($292.12).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 50 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.387) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.43).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($267.06).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:25.386979898Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.