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UAL (UAL) — Uptrend in force
UAL (UAL) is trading at $112.51, -1.48 (65.3%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is up with a +23.7% move. Price is -17.3% from its 6-month high and +27.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~36%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
UAL (UAL) is trading at $112.51. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **up** with a +23.7% move.
Price is -17.3% from the 6-month high and +27.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~36%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($111.13, +1.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($115.74).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $112.51, upper $115.72, middle $110.38, lower $105.04. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 9.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 60.2. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.38, signal $-0.97, histogram +0.593.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.08) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($112.51) is +3.1% above the anchored VWAP ($109.14). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $112.51. Resistance above: $113.00, $114.17, $115.71. Support below: $110.38, $108.05, $104.15.
Watch $113.00 as the first upside level to clear, and $110.38 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$113.00
Resistance
$114.17
Resistance
$115.71
Support
$110.38
Support
$108.05
Support
$104.15
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+23.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($115.74).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 60 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.593) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.70).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($109.14).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:55.348091082Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.