UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) — Downtrend in force
UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) is trading at $371.90, -4.69 (1.84%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a +32.2% move. Price is -14.8% from its 6-month high and +32.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~18%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) is trading at $371.90. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a +32.2% move.
Price is -14.8% from the 6-month high and +32.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~18%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($373.70) and below the 50-day SMA ($392.76).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $371.90, upper $393.96, middle $377.52, lower $361.08. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 45.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-6.63, signal $-6.85, histogram +0.224.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.94) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($371.90) is -3.1% below the anchored VWAP ($383.99). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $371.90. Resistance above: $372.61, $378.49, $392.71. Support below: $366.00, $361.08.
Watch $372.61 as the first upside level to clear, and $366.00 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$372.61
Resistance
$378.49
Resistance
$392.71
Support
$366.00
Support
$361.08
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+32.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($392.76).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 45 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.224) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.33).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($383.99).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:16:52.864885744Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.