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UNP (UNP) — Range-bound
UNP (UNP) is trading at $295.47, +2.34 (+0.8%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +12.4% move. Price is -3.9% from its 6-month high and +26.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
UNP (UNP) is trading at $295.47. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +12.4% move.
Price is -3.9% from the 6-month high and +26.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($294.08) and above the 50-day SMA ($282.87).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $295.47, upper $303.68, middle $295.24, lower $286.80. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 5.7% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 46.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $2.85, signal $3.67, histogram -0.817.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.72). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($295.47) is +10.4% above the anchored VWAP ($267.72). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $295.47. Resistance above: $295.92, $303.15, $315.99. Support below: $294.70, $290.34, $284.79.
Watch $295.92 as the first upside level to clear, and $294.70 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$295.92
Resistance
$303.15
Resistance
$315.99
Support
$294.70
Support
$290.34
Support
$284.79
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($282.87).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 47 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.817) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.51).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.72) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($267.72).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:26.487096974Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.