UPS

UPS (UPS) — Downtrend in force

UPS (UPS) is trading at $104.71, +0.21 (+0.2%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -9.3% move. Price is -11.1% from its 6-month high and +10.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.

Trend Downtrend in force

UPS (UPS) is trading at $104.71. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -9.3% move.

Price is -11.1% from the 6-month high and +10.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.

Price is below the 15-day MA ($105.81, -1.0%) and below the 50-day SMA ($108.93).

Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $104.71, upper $117.02, middle $108.07, lower $99.13. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.

Bandwidth is 16.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Below 50

RSI(14) is 36.4. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.59, signal $-1.19, histogram -0.395.

The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.

Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control

Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.76). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing

The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater

Price ($104.71) is -0.1% below the anchored VWAP ($104.84). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels

Current price $104.71. Resistance above: $105.49, $108.00, $109.40. Support below: $102.44, $99.13.

Watch $105.49 as the first upside level to clear, and $102.44 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Signal breakdown

• Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-9.3% over the period).
• Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($108.93).
• RSI (14) Bearish RSI 36 — below 50, momentum fading.
• MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.395) — fast line below signal.
• Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.31).
• Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.76) — distribution.
• A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
• AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($104.84).

Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:26.629792171Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.