UPS

NASDAQ: UPS

93.02
-0.94 (-92.70%)

USD · Cached quote

Volume underlay MA (50) Bollinger Bands (20, 2) RSI (14) — 80/20 MACD (12, 26, 9) Accumulation/Distribution Anchored VWAP Historical Volatility (10, 252)
UPS advanced chart — Yahoo Finance

Advanced chart with volume, red MA(50), Bollinger Bands, RSI, and MACD. Chart PNG auto-refreshes every 4 hours from the scraper. Updated 2026-10-03T17:02:54.552286420Z

article Analysis

UPS (UPS) — Downtrend in force

UPS (UPS) is trading at $93.02, -0.94 (-92.7%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -4.3% move. Price is -21.0% from its 6-month high and +1.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.

Probability scenarios

Bullish
10%
Neutral
20%
Bearish
70%

Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.

Timeframe ratings

Long-term
★★★★★ Strongly bearish
Intermediate
★★★★★ Bearish
Short-term
★★★★★ Neutral

Trend Downtrend in force

UPS (UPS) is trading at $93.02. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -4.3% move.

Price is -21.0% from the 6-month high and +1.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.

Price is below the 15-day MA ($95.62, -2.7%) and below the 50-day SMA ($101.51).

Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $93.02, upper $103.54, middle $96.84, lower $90.14. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.

Bandwidth is 13.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.

RSI (14) Weakening

RSI(14) is 27.3. Nearing the 30 oversold line.

Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.

MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing

MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.72, signal $-2.58, histogram -0.139.

The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.

Volume Analysis Balanced volume

Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.81) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.

Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.

Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing

The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.

A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.

Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater

Price ($93.02) is -10.6% below the anchored VWAP ($104.09). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.

Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.

Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels

Current price $93.02. Resistance above: $93.99, $100.39, $102.80. Support below: $91.63, $90.14.

Watch $93.99 as the first upside level to clear, and $91.63 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.

Resistance $93.99
Resistance $100.39
Resistance $102.80
Support $91.63
Support $90.14

Signal breakdown

  • Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-4.3% over the period).
  • Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($101.51).
  • RSI (14) Bullish RSI 27 — oversold, bounce setup.
  • MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.139) — fast line below signal.
  • Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.22).
  • Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
  • A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
  • AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($104.09).

Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:54.552286420Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.