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UPS (UPS) — Downtrend in force
UPS (UPS) is trading at $93.02, -0.94 (-92.7%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is down with a -4.3% move. Price is -21.0% from its 6-month high and +1.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
UPS (UPS) is trading at $93.02. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **down** with a -4.3% move.
Price is -21.0% from the 6-month high and +1.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($95.62, -2.7%) and below the 50-day SMA ($101.51).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $93.02, upper $103.54, middle $96.84, lower $90.14. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 27.3. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.72, signal $-2.58, histogram -0.139.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.81) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($93.02) is -10.6% below the anchored VWAP ($104.09). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $93.02. Resistance above: $93.99, $100.39, $102.80. Support below: $91.63, $90.14.
Watch $93.99 as the first upside level to clear, and $91.63 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$93.99
Resistance
$100.39
Resistance
$102.80
Support
$91.63
Support
$90.14
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-4.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($101.51).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 27 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.139) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.22).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($104.09).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:02:54.552286420Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.