VLO (VLO) — Range-bound
VLO (VLO) is trading at $406.30, +19.12 (+-52.9%) on the session. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is flat with a +65.5% move. Price is -1.7% from its 6-month high and +81.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~33%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
VLO (VLO) is trading at $406.30. Over the last 127 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +65.5% move.
Price is -1.7% from the 6-month high and +81.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~33%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($395.23, +2.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($357.16).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $406.30, upper $415.50, middle $392.95, lower $370.40. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 11.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 58.2. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $12.03, signal $12.77, histogram -0.734.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.76). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is near highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($406.30) is +36.7% above the anchored VWAP ($297.21). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $406.30. Resistance above: $415.50. Support below: $392.95, $385.40, $375.10.
Watch $415.50 as the first upside level to clear, and $392.95 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$415.50
Support
$392.95
Support
$385.40
Support
$375.10
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($357.16).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 58 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.734) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.80).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.76) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($297.21).
Generated from 127 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-03T17:17:56.861796668Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.