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VRT (VRT) — Downtrend in force
VRT (VRT) is trading at $294.38, +21.98 (+8.07%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +20.9% move. Price is -21.8% from its 6-month high and +32.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~78%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 4 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend, stabilising
VRT (VRT) is trading at $294.38. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +20.9% move.
The 6-month trend is down, but the last ~20 sessions are up 0.9% — early stabilisation. Price is -21.8% from the high and +32.0% from the low.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($268.63, +9.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($296.76).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $294.38, upper $321.02, middle $276.06, lower $231.10. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 32.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 57.4. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-3.98, signal $-8.66, histogram +4.679.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.67). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($294.38) is +2.1% above the anchored VWAP ($288.19). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $294.38. Resistance above: $297.33, $306.23, $313.61. Support below: $294.30, $287.11, $276.06.
Watch $297.33 as the first upside level to clear, and $294.30 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$297.33
Resistance
$306.23
Resistance
$313.61
Support
$294.30
Support
$287.11
Support
$276.06
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+20.9% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($296.76).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 57 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+4.679) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.70).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.67) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($288.19).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-14T18:47:27.900684099Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.